Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Moscow on May 22, driven by warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating. This consensus underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for 29°C, consistent with late-May climatology and limited potential for stronger instability or cold-air intrusion. Updated surface observations and model runs through the afternoon will provide final confirmation ahead of official resolution, though modest deviations remain possible if boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover develops differently than anticipated.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on May 22?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 22?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$40,443 Объем
$40,443 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$40,443 Объем
$40,443 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
$2,739 Объем
No
24°C
$1,132 Объем
No
25°C
$1,272 Объем
No
26°C
$1,286 Объем
No
27°C
$3,363 Объем
No
28°C
$3,549 Объем
No
29°C
$8,633 Объем
Yes
30°C
$5,536 Объем
No
31°C
$8,812 Объем
No
32°C
$1,480 Объем
No
33°C or higher
$2,639 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Moscow on May 22, driven by warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating. This consensus underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for 29°C, consistent with late-May climatology and limited potential for stronger instability or cold-air intrusion. Updated surface observations and model runs through the afternoon will provide final confirmation ahead of official resolution, though modest deviations remain possible if boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover develops differently than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Объем
$40,443Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Moscow on May 22, driven by warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating. This consensus underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for 29°C, consistent with late-May climatology and limited potential for stronger instability or cold-air intrusion. Updated surface observations and model runs through the afternoon will provide final confirmation ahead of official resolution, though modest deviations remain possible if boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover develops differently than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$40,443Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecasts from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Moscow on May 22, driven by warm southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating. This consensus underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for 29°C, consistent with late-May climatology and limited potential for stronger instability or cold-air intrusion. Updated surface observations and model runs through the afternoon will provide final confirmation ahead of official resolution, though modest deviations remain possible if boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover develops differently than anticipated.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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