Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 13–16°C for Munich's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring the ensemble mean from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON models projecting mild spring conditions under a developing upper-level ridge over Central Europe. Recent 00Z model runs show a spread due to uncertainty in foehn wind onset from the Alps—stronger pressure gradients could boost 16–18°C outcomes via downslope warming and adiabatic compression, while persistent low clouds or light showers favor cooler 13–14°C peaks. April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 13–14°C; watch DWD advisories and ECMWF 12Z updates tomorrow for refined guidance on cloud trends and frontal timing as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on April 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 6?
14°C 29%
16°C 20%
15°C 16%
17°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
16%
14°C
29%
15°C
16%
16°C
20%
17°C
13%
18°C
9%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 29%
16°C 20%
15°C 16%
17°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$338 Объем
1%
11°C
$926 Объем
4%
12°C
$298 Объем
9%
13°C
$210 Объем
16%
14°C
$159 Объем
29%
15°C
$171 Объем
16%
16°C
$125 Объем
20%
17°C
$95 Объем
13%
18°C
$135 Объем
9%
19°C
$99 Объем
3%
20°C or higher
$139 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 13–16°C for Munich's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring the ensemble mean from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON models projecting mild spring conditions under a developing upper-level ridge over Central Europe. Recent 00Z model runs show a spread due to uncertainty in foehn wind onset from the Alps—stronger pressure gradients could boost 16–18°C outcomes via downslope warming and adiabatic compression, while persistent low clouds or light showers favor cooler 13–14°C peaks. April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 13–14°C; watch DWD advisories and ECMWF 12Z updates tomorrow for refined guidance on cloud trends and frontal timing as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$2,686Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 13–16°C for Munich's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring the ensemble mean from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON models projecting mild spring conditions under a developing upper-level ridge over Central Europe. Recent 00Z model runs show a spread due to uncertainty in foehn wind onset from the Alps—stronger pressure gradients could boost 16–18°C outcomes via downslope warming and adiabatic compression, while persistent low clouds or light showers favor cooler 13–14°C peaks. April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 13–14°C; watch DWD advisories and ECMWF 12Z updates tomorrow for refined guidance on cloud trends and frontal timing as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,686Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 13–16°C for Munich's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring the ensemble mean from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON models projecting mild spring conditions under a developing upper-level ridge over Central Europe. Recent 00Z model runs show a spread due to uncertainty in foehn wind onset from the Alps—stronger pressure gradients could boost 16–18°C outcomes via downslope warming and adiabatic compression, while persistent low clouds or light showers favor cooler 13–14°C peaks. April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 13–14°C; watch DWD advisories and ECMWF 12Z updates tomorrow for refined guidance on cloud trends and frontal timing as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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