Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's primary climate station, recorded a maximum temperature of 53°F at 2:57 PM EDT on April 21, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to assign 100% implied probability to the 52-53°F outcome based on Weather Underground data from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution source. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR reports amid cloudy skies, light winds, and lingering effects from a cold front that followed mid-April's record 90°F heat in Central Park on the 15th—well below the 64°F climatological average high. With data finalized in NWS daily climate summaries, only an extraordinary station measurement revision, as occasionally seen in quality control audits, could realistically challenge this consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 21?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 21?
52-53°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$340,898 Объем
$340,898 Объем
21 апр. 2026 г.
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Yes
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
52-53°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$340,898 Объем
$340,898 Объем
21 апр. 2026 г.
45°F or below
$15,845 Объем
No
46-47°F
$44,175 Объем
No
48-49°F
$37,745 Объем
No
50-51°F
$111,332 Объем
No
52-53°F
$34,850 Объем
Yes
54-55°F
$40,320 Объем
No
56-57°F
$15,780 Объем
No
58-59°F
$6,647 Объем
No
60-61°F
$15,489 Объем
No
62-63°F
$10,662 Объем
No
64°F or higher
$8,053 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's primary climate station, recorded a maximum temperature of 53°F at 2:57 PM EDT on April 21, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to assign 100% implied probability to the 52-53°F outcome based on Weather Underground data from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution source. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR reports amid cloudy skies, light winds, and lingering effects from a cold front that followed mid-April's record 90°F heat in Central Park on the 15th—well below the 64°F climatological average high. With data finalized in NWS daily climate summaries, only an extraordinary station measurement revision, as occasionally seen in quality control audits, could realistically challenge this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$340,898Дата окончания
21 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's primary climate station, recorded a maximum temperature of 53°F at 2:57 PM EDT on April 21, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to assign 100% implied probability to the 52-53°F outcome based on Weather Underground data from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution source. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR reports amid cloudy skies, light winds, and lingering effects from a cold front that followed mid-April's record 90°F heat in Central Park on the 15th—well below the 64°F climatological average high. With data finalized in NWS daily climate summaries, only an extraordinary station measurement revision, as occasionally seen in quality control audits, could realistically challenge this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$340,898Дата окончания
21 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's primary climate station, recorded a maximum temperature of 53°F at 2:57 PM EDT on April 21, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to assign 100% implied probability to the 52-53°F outcome based on Weather Underground data from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution source. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR reports amid cloudy skies, light winds, and lingering effects from a cold front that followed mid-April's record 90°F heat in Central Park on the 15th—well below the 64°F climatological average high. With data finalized in NWS daily climate summaries, only an extraordinary station measurement revision, as occasionally seen in quality control audits, could realistically challenge this consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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