The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on June 2?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 2?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$8,658 Объем
$8,658 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$8,658 Объем
$8,658 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$213 Объем
No
22°C
$287 Объем
No
23°C
$281 Объем
No
24°C
$291 Объем
No
25°C
$301 Объем
No
26°C
$472 Объем
No
27°C
$333 Объем
No
28°C
$811 Объем
No
29°C
$1,871 Объем
No
30°C
$1,906 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$1,894 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$8,658Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,658Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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