Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on May 4?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 4?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,188 Объем
$20,188 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,188 Объем
$20,188 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
22°C or below
$3,520 Объем
No
23°C
$237 Объем
No
24°C
$513 Объем
No
25°C
$329 Объем
No
26°C
$1,308 Объем
No
27°C
$568 Объем
No
28°C
$2,413 Объем
No
29°C
$3,334 Объем
No
30°C
$2,551 Объем
No
31°C
$2,898 Объем
No
32°C or higher
$2,515 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Объем
$20,188Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,188Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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