Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панаме 9 мая?
33°C или выше 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,713 Объем
$18,713 Объем
23°C или ниже
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C или выше
Да
33°C или выше 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,713 Объем
$18,713 Объем
23°C или ниже
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C или выше
Да
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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