Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 31 июля?
30°C 37%
29°C 34%
28°C 18%
31°C 10%
27°C or below
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
34%
30°C
37%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C или выше
<1%
30°C 37%
29°C 34%
28°C 18%
31°C 10%
27°C or below
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
34%
30°C
37%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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