Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature reaching 29°C at Guarulhos International Airport on April 3, with 30°C close behind at 31.5%, driven by the latest forecasts from INMET and Climatempo indicating persistent high-pressure systems ushering in above-normal autumn warmth. Sunny mornings and partial cloud cover in recent model runs (GFS, ECMWF analogs via CPTEC) support afternoon peaks in this range, as a ridge suppresses cooler air masses while limiting convective showers until late day. Yesterday's conditions hovered near 28°C, aligning with the gradual warming trend amid low humidity and light winds; historical April highs average 25°C, but 2026's amplified ridge elevates expectations. Monitor hourly updates from INMET through evening for potential shifts from incoming instability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 3?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 3?
29°C 42%
30°C 31%
28°C 20%
27°C 8.5%
$30,653 Объем
$30,653 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
20%
29°C
42%
30°C
31%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 31%
28°C 20%
27°C 8.5%
$30,653 Объем
$30,653 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
20%
29°C
42%
30°C
31%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature reaching 29°C at Guarulhos International Airport on April 3, with 30°C close behind at 31.5%, driven by the latest forecasts from INMET and Climatempo indicating persistent high-pressure systems ushering in above-normal autumn warmth. Sunny mornings and partial cloud cover in recent model runs (GFS, ECMWF analogs via CPTEC) support afternoon peaks in this range, as a ridge suppresses cooler air masses while limiting convective showers until late day. Yesterday's conditions hovered near 28°C, aligning with the gradual warming trend amid low humidity and light winds; historical April highs average 25°C, but 2026's amplified ridge elevates expectations. Monitor hourly updates from INMET through evening for potential shifts from incoming instability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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