Latest forecasts from global models and Brazilian meteorological agencies indicate a maximum of 28–29°C in São Paulo on August 16, supported by clear skies, moderate subsidence, and limited moisture typical of mid-winter conditions in the region. These align with historical August highs averaging near 25–27°C while reflecting recent warming trends from urban heat effects and absent cold fronts. Traders have concentrated probability on 28°C (42%) and 29°C (25%) as model consensus holds, with minor downward revisions possible if afternoon cloud cover or seabreeze develops. Updated official observations from INMET later today will determine final resolution amid standard forecast uncertainty ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 16 августа?
28°C 42%
29°C 25%
27°C 22%
26°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
22%
28°C
42%
29°C
25%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 42%
29°C 25%
27°C 22%
26°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
22%
28°C
42%
29°C
25%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from global models and Brazilian meteorological agencies indicate a maximum of 28–29°C in São Paulo on August 16, supported by clear skies, moderate subsidence, and limited moisture typical of mid-winter conditions in the region. These align with historical August highs averaging near 25–27°C while reflecting recent warming trends from urban heat effects and absent cold fronts. Traders have concentrated probability on 28°C (42%) and 29°C (25%) as model consensus holds, with minor downward revisions possible if afternoon cloud cover or seabreeze develops. Updated official observations from INMET later today will determine final resolution amid standard forecast uncertainty ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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