Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 2 мая?
29°C 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,592 Объем
$60,592 Объем
23°C или ниже
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Да
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C или выше
Нет
29°C 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,592 Объем
$60,592 Объем
23°C или ниже
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Да
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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