**Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station confirm the highest temperature reached 28°C on May 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds ahead of an incoming cold front.** This aligns precisely with pre-event INMET forecasts projecting a 28°C maximum, driven by transient autumn ridge warming that temporarily boosted temperatures above May's climatological average of 22–23°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data from authoritative stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured peak. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from SBGR or INMET, such as sensor recalibrations, though model-observation consistency makes shifts improbable as final reports finalize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 9?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 9?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$60,724 Объем
$60,724 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$60,724 Объем
$60,724 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
24°C or below
$7,069 Объем
No
25°C
$4,306 Объем
No
26°C
$6,097 Объем
No
27°C
$4,128 Объем
No
28°C
$9,804 Объем
Yes
29°C
$9,340 Объем
No
30°C
$6,978 Объем
No
31°C
$5,598 Объем
No
32°C
$2,970 Объем
No
33°C
$1,298 Объем
No
34°C or higher
$3,136 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station confirm the highest temperature reached 28°C on May 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds ahead of an incoming cold front.** This aligns precisely with pre-event INMET forecasts projecting a 28°C maximum, driven by transient autumn ridge warming that temporarily boosted temperatures above May's climatological average of 22–23°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data from authoritative stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured peak. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from SBGR or INMET, such as sensor recalibrations, though model-observation consistency makes shifts improbable as final reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$60,724Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station confirm the highest temperature reached 28°C on May 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds ahead of an incoming cold front.** This aligns precisely with pre-event INMET forecasts projecting a 28°C maximum, driven by transient autumn ridge warming that temporarily boosted temperatures above May's climatological average of 22–23°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data from authoritative stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured peak. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from SBGR or INMET, such as sensor recalibrations, though model-observation consistency makes shifts improbable as final reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$60,724Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station confirm the highest temperature reached 28°C on May 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds ahead of an incoming cold front.** This aligns precisely with pre-event INMET forecasts projecting a 28°C maximum, driven by transient autumn ridge warming that temporarily boosted temperatures above May's climatological average of 22–23°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data from authoritative stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured peak. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from SBGR or INMET, such as sensor recalibrations, though model-observation consistency makes shifts improbable as final reports finalize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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