Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 августа?
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
73°F or below
$10 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$361 Объем
7%
76-77°F
$466 Объем
21%
78-79°F
$322 Объем
34%
80-81°F
$566 Объем
26%
82-83°F
$172 Объем
7%
84-85°F
$186 Объем
3%
86-87°F
$230 Объем
1%
88-89°F
$26 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$306 Объем
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$3,005Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,005Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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