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icon for Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 1 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 1 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 1 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 1 августа?

32°C 37%

31°C 27%

33°C 21%

30°C 10%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

32°C 37%

31°C 27%

33°C 21%

30°C 10%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

25°C or below

$458 Объем

<1%

26°C

$408 Объем

<1%

27°C

$184 Объем

1%

28°C

$44 Объем

1%

29°C

$75 Объем

4%

30°C

$164 Объем

10%

31°C

$634 Объем

27%

32°C

$782 Объем

37%

33°C

$163 Объем

21%

34°C

$804 Объем

4%

35°C or higher

$1,338 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system and heat dome pattern over the Korean Peninsula continue to shape forecasts for Seoul and Incheon on August 1. The Korea Meteorological Administration projects daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with elevated humidity supporting tropical night conditions and limiting overnight cooling. Key variables differentiating 31–34°C outcomes include afternoon convective cloud development, variable wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C in central Seoul relative to Incheon observations. Model consensus remains moderate due to timing uncertainties in any incoming trough or sea breeze influence, keeping implied probabilities clustered around 30–32°C while allowing for upside risk above 35°C if subsidence strengthens.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,053
Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system and heat dome pattern over the Korean Peninsula continue to shape forecasts for Seoul and Incheon on August 1. The Korea Meteorological Administration projects daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with elevated humidity supporting tropical night conditions and limiting overnight cooling. Key variables differentiating 31–34°C outcomes include afternoon convective cloud development, variable wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C in central Seoul relative to Incheon observations. Model consensus remains moderate due to timing uncertainties in any incoming trough or sea breeze influence, keeping implied probabilities clustered around 30–32°C while allowing for upside risk above 35°C if subsidence strengthens.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,053
Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 1 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «32°C» с 37%, за ним следует «31°C» с 27%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 37¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 1 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 1 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 1 августа?» — «32°C» с 37%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31°C» с 27%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 1 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.