Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on June 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This consensus reflects current observational data showing temperatures building to that level without exceeding it, consistent with early-June climatology where Seoul highs typically average near 25–28°C before monsoon influences intensify. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant steering patterns or moisture intrusions expected to push readings higher. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers before peak heating could cap the maximum below 25°C, while any delay in official station reporting might introduce minor uncertainty until the daily high is finalized.