Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 19°C and 20°C at 28.5% each for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, mirroring tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which cluster daytime highs around 20°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge fostering light southerly winds and variable cloudiness. Recent observations at the resolution station—Shanghai Pudong International Airport—confirm 18°C on April 15 and 19°C on April 16, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 19°C but cooler than some guidance due to persistent overcast skies moderating boundary-layer heating. Key differentiators include model spread on low-level moisture advection and sea-breeze penetration: ECMWF leans cooler toward 19°C with stronger onshore flow, while GFS implies 20-21°C potential via drier air aloft. New 00Z runs and CMA updates expected overnight could refine odds ahead of official hourly data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 18?
20°C 28%
19°C 28%
21°C 15%
18°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
28%
20°C
28%
21°C
15%
22°C
10%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 28%
19°C 28%
21°C 15%
18°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
15°C or below
$775 Объем
1%
16°C
$1,124 Объем
2%
17°C
$584 Объем
6%
18°C
$396 Объем
14%
19°C
$120 Объем
28%
20°C
$134 Объем
28%
21°C
$502 Объем
15%
22°C
$791 Объем
10%
23°C
$165 Объем
3%
24°C
$167 Объем
3%
25°C or higher
$151 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 19°C and 20°C at 28.5% each for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, mirroring tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which cluster daytime highs around 20°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge fostering light southerly winds and variable cloudiness. Recent observations at the resolution station—Shanghai Pudong International Airport—confirm 18°C on April 15 and 19°C on April 16, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 19°C but cooler than some guidance due to persistent overcast skies moderating boundary-layer heating. Key differentiators include model spread on low-level moisture advection and sea-breeze penetration: ECMWF leans cooler toward 19°C with stronger onshore flow, while GFS implies 20-21°C potential via drier air aloft. New 00Z runs and CMA updates expected overnight could refine odds ahead of official hourly data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Объем
$4,863Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 19°C and 20°C at 28.5% each for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, mirroring tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which cluster daytime highs around 20°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge fostering light southerly winds and variable cloudiness. Recent observations at the resolution station—Shanghai Pudong International Airport—confirm 18°C on April 15 and 19°C on April 16, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 19°C but cooler than some guidance due to persistent overcast skies moderating boundary-layer heating. Key differentiators include model spread on low-level moisture advection and sea-breeze penetration: ECMWF leans cooler toward 19°C with stronger onshore flow, while GFS implies 20-21°C potential via drier air aloft. New 00Z runs and CMA updates expected overnight could refine odds ahead of official hourly data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$4,863Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 19°C and 20°C at 28.5% each for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, mirroring tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which cluster daytime highs around 20°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge fostering light southerly winds and variable cloudiness. Recent observations at the resolution station—Shanghai Pudong International Airport—confirm 18°C on April 15 and 19°C on April 16, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 19°C but cooler than some guidance due to persistent overcast skies moderating boundary-layer heating. Key differentiators include model spread on low-level moisture advection and sea-breeze penetration: ECMWF leans cooler toward 19°C with stronger onshore flow, while GFS implies 20-21°C potential via drier air aloft. New 00Z runs and CMA updates expected overnight could refine odds ahead of official hourly data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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