Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a stable high of 25°C on May 21, driven by moderate subtropical airflow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal averages near 25–27°C. Numerical weather models from regional agencies show tight agreement on this peak, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected before evening cooling sets in. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this consensus backed by real-capital trader assessment of official observation criteria. Minor revisions in late-day model runs or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, though historical verification patterns for similar May conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 21?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 21?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$101,447 Объем
$101,447 Объем
21 мая 2026 г.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$101,447 Объем
$101,447 Объем
21 мая 2026 г.
20°C or below
$1,858 Объем
No
21°C
$537 Объем
No
22°C
$659 Объем
No
23°C
$3,338 Объем
No
24°C
$20,048 Объем
No
25°C
$31,246 Объем
Yes
26°C
$16,105 Объем
No
27°C
$10,241 Объем
No
28°C
$6,388 Объем
No
29°C
$5,273 Объем
No
30°C or higher
$5,755 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a stable high of 25°C on May 21, driven by moderate subtropical airflow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal averages near 25–27°C. Numerical weather models from regional agencies show tight agreement on this peak, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected before evening cooling sets in. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this consensus backed by real-capital trader assessment of official observation criteria. Minor revisions in late-day model runs or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, though historical verification patterns for similar May conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 19, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Объем
$101,447Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 12:35 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a stable high of 25°C on May 21, driven by moderate subtropical airflow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal averages near 25–27°C. Numerical weather models from regional agencies show tight agreement on this peak, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected before evening cooling sets in. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this consensus backed by real-capital trader assessment of official observation criteria. Minor revisions in late-day model runs or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, though historical verification patterns for similar May conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$101,447Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 12:35 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a stable high of 25°C on May 21, driven by moderate subtropical airflow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal averages near 25–27°C. Numerical weather models from regional agencies show tight agreement on this peak, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected before evening cooling sets in. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this consensus backed by real-capital trader assessment of official observation criteria. Minor revisions in late-day model runs or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, though historical verification patterns for similar May conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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