Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 29°C (25%), 30°C (23.5%), and 31°C (22.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid humid subtropical conditions. Recent observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show early-April peaks at 30°C on April 10, dipping to 28°C on April 11 amid convective activity, with April 15 reaching 29°C before recent severe storms in Guangdong introduced cloudier patterns and southerly moisture flow. AccuWeather and ensemble models project highs of 28–30°C (83–86°F), but variability hinges on morning shower timing (50–80% probability) and potential diurnal clearing, which could push peaks higher via urban heat island effects and solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow may refine steering winds and precipitation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 19?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 19?
29°C 29%
30°C 22%
31°C 22%
32°C or higher 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
17%
29°C
29%
30°C
22%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
17%
29°C 29%
30°C 22%
31°C 22%
32°C or higher 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$492 Объем
<1%
23°C
$980 Объем
<1%
24°C
$926 Объем
1%
25°C
$800 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,041 Объем
4%
27°C
$553 Объем
8%
28°C
$445 Объем
17%
29°C
$73 Объем
29%
30°C
$89 Объем
22%
31°C
$118 Объем
22%
32°C or higher
$678 Объем
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 29°C (25%), 30°C (23.5%), and 31°C (22.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid humid subtropical conditions. Recent observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show early-April peaks at 30°C on April 10, dipping to 28°C on April 11 amid convective activity, with April 15 reaching 29°C before recent severe storms in Guangdong introduced cloudier patterns and southerly moisture flow. AccuWeather and ensemble models project highs of 28–30°C (83–86°F), but variability hinges on morning shower timing (50–80% probability) and potential diurnal clearing, which could push peaks higher via urban heat island effects and solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow may refine steering winds and precipitation risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Объем
$5,981Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 29°C (25%), 30°C (23.5%), and 31°C (22.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid humid subtropical conditions. Recent observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show early-April peaks at 30°C on April 10, dipping to 28°C on April 11 amid convective activity, with April 15 reaching 29°C before recent severe storms in Guangdong introduced cloudier patterns and southerly moisture flow. AccuWeather and ensemble models project highs of 28–30°C (83–86°F), but variability hinges on morning shower timing (50–80% probability) and potential diurnal clearing, which could push peaks higher via urban heat island effects and solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow may refine steering winds and precipitation risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,981Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 29°C (25%), 30°C (23.5%), and 31°C (22.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid humid subtropical conditions. Recent observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show early-April peaks at 30°C on April 10, dipping to 28°C on April 11 amid convective activity, with April 15 reaching 29°C before recent severe storms in Guangdong introduced cloudier patterns and southerly moisture flow. AccuWeather and ensemble models project highs of 28–30°C (83–86°F), but variability hinges on morning shower timing (50–80% probability) and potential diurnal clearing, which could push peaks higher via urban heat island effects and solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow may refine steering winds and precipitation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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