Recent weather models and ongoing humid subtropical conditions in Guangdong province drive the broad distribution around 30–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen's July 17 maximum. Typical July highs average near 32°C under strong solar insolation and urban heat effects, yet scattered afternoon convection or light rain—evident in current forecasts showing 70%+ humidity and possible thunderstorms—can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C. Limited typhoon influence and stable steering patterns add modest upside potential for 33°C+, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions below 29°C or above 34°C this time of year. Updated numerical guidance and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 17 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 17 июля?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$134,809 Объем
$134,809 Объем
17 июл. 2026 г.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$134,809 Объем
$134,809 Объем
17 июл. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$13,591 Объем
No
27°C
$32,208 Объем
No
28°C
$18,171 Объем
No
29°C
$14,522 Объем
Yes
30°C
$22,891 Объем
No
31°C
$11,245 Объем
No
32°C
$7,916 Объем
No
33°C
$5,977 Объем
No
34°C
$4,232 Объем
No
35°C
$3,474 Объем
No
36°C or higher
$581 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models and ongoing humid subtropical conditions in Guangdong province drive the broad distribution around 30–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen's July 17 maximum. Typical July highs average near 32°C under strong solar insolation and urban heat effects, yet scattered afternoon convection or light rain—evident in current forecasts showing 70%+ humidity and possible thunderstorms—can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C. Limited typhoon influence and stable steering patterns add modest upside potential for 33°C+, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions below 29°C or above 34°C this time of year. Updated numerical guidance and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$134,809Дата окончания
17 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models and ongoing humid subtropical conditions in Guangdong province drive the broad distribution around 30–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen's July 17 maximum. Typical July highs average near 32°C under strong solar insolation and urban heat effects, yet scattered afternoon convection or light rain—evident in current forecasts showing 70%+ humidity and possible thunderstorms—can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C. Limited typhoon influence and stable steering patterns add modest upside potential for 33°C+, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions below 29°C or above 34°C this time of year. Updated numerical guidance and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$134,809Дата окончания
17 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent weather models and ongoing humid subtropical conditions in Guangdong province drive the broad distribution around 30–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen's July 17 maximum. Typical July highs average near 32°C under strong solar insolation and urban heat effects, yet scattered afternoon convection or light rain—evident in current forecasts showing 70%+ humidity and possible thunderstorms—can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C. Limited typhoon influence and stable steering patterns add modest upside potential for 33°C+, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions below 29°C or above 34°C this time of year. Updated numerical guidance and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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