Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Shenzhen of 31–34°C on July 24, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon delivering warm, moist air from the South China Sea alongside typical urban heat island effects. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with potential modulation from cloud cover, sea breezes, or brief showers that could cap or elevate peaks; historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 32–34°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of outcomes pending final observational data and any last-model updates before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 24 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 24 июля?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$94,530 Объем
$94,530 Объем
24 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$94,530 Объем
$94,530 Объем
24 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$531 Объем
No
28°C
$483 Объем
No
29°C
$883 Объем
No
30°C
$2,017 Объем
No
31°C
$2,766 Объем
No
32°C
$5,875 Объем
No
33°C
$12,132 Объем
No
34°C
$17,117 Объем
No
35°C
$9,830 Объем
Yes
36°C
$23,479 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$19,418 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Shenzhen of 31–34°C on July 24, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon delivering warm, moist air from the South China Sea alongside typical urban heat island effects. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with potential modulation from cloud cover, sea breezes, or brief showers that could cap or elevate peaks; historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 32–34°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of outcomes pending final observational data and any last-model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$94,530Дата окончания
24 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Shenzhen of 31–34°C on July 24, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon delivering warm, moist air from the South China Sea alongside typical urban heat island effects. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with potential modulation from cloud cover, sea breezes, or brief showers that could cap or elevate peaks; historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 32–34°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of outcomes pending final observational data and any last-model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$94,530Дата окончания
24 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Shenzhen of 31–34°C on July 24, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon delivering warm, moist air from the South China Sea alongside typical urban heat island effects. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with potential modulation from cloud cover, sea breezes, or brief showers that could cap or elevate peaks; historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 32–34°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of outcomes pending final observational data and any last-model updates before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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