Trader consensus on Singapore's July 3 peak temperature, with 31°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a broad spread, reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Typical southwest monsoon conditions favor afternoon highs near 31°C, modulated by sea surface temperatures, urban heat effects, and convective cloud cover that can suppress maxima through rainfall or enhance them under clearer skies. Historical July climatology shows similar central tendencies with high day-to-day variability. Key variables include model agreement on steering patterns and instability indices; fresh runs from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore or ECMWF could shift odds if they indicate stronger thunderstorms or drier air masses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сингапуре 3 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Сингапуре 3 июля?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$70,944 Объем
$70,944 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$70,944 Объем
$70,944 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$256 Объем
No
25°C
$2,342 Объем
No
26°C
$2,382 Объем
No
27°C
$3,267 Объем
No
28°C
$5,028 Объем
No
29°C
$9,093 Объем
No
30°C
$7,795 Объем
No
31°C
$13,777 Объем
Yes
32°C
$9,133 Объем
No
33°C
$9,606 Объем
No
34°C or higher
$8,265 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Singapore's July 3 peak temperature, with 31°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a broad spread, reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Typical southwest monsoon conditions favor afternoon highs near 31°C, modulated by sea surface temperatures, urban heat effects, and convective cloud cover that can suppress maxima through rainfall or enhance them under clearer skies. Historical July climatology shows similar central tendencies with high day-to-day variability. Key variables include model agreement on steering patterns and instability indices; fresh runs from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore or ECMWF could shift odds if they indicate stronger thunderstorms or drier air masses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$70,944Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Singapore's July 3 peak temperature, with 31°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a broad spread, reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Typical southwest monsoon conditions favor afternoon highs near 31°C, modulated by sea surface temperatures, urban heat effects, and convective cloud cover that can suppress maxima through rainfall or enhance them under clearer skies. Historical July climatology shows similar central tendencies with high day-to-day variability. Key variables include model agreement on steering patterns and instability indices; fresh runs from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore or ECMWF could shift odds if they indicate stronger thunderstorms or drier air masses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$70,944Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Singapore's July 3 peak temperature, with 31°C leading at 33% implied probability amid a broad spread, reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models. Typical southwest monsoon conditions favor afternoon highs near 31°C, modulated by sea surface temperatures, urban heat effects, and convective cloud cover that can suppress maxima through rainfall or enhance them under clearer skies. Historical July climatology shows similar central tendencies with high day-to-day variability. Key variables include model agreement on steering patterns and instability indices; fresh runs from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore or ECMWF could shift odds if they indicate stronger thunderstorms or drier air masses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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