The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on June 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 5?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$99,838 Объем
$99,838 Объем
5 июн. 2026 г.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$99,838 Объем
$99,838 Объем
5 июн. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$3,382 Объем
No
25°C
$9,705 Объем
No
26°C
$2,372 Объем
No
27°C
$5,942 Объем
No
28°C
$34,527 Объем
Yes
29°C
$8,787 Объем
No
30°C
$9,490 Объем
No
31°C
$6,479 Объем
No
32°C
$4,699 Объем
No
33°C
$5,939 Объем
No
34°C or higher
$8,516 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$99,838Дата окончания
5 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$99,838Дата окончания
5 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы