Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 23°C high temperature in Taipei on May 1, 2026, backed by real-time Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations at the Songshan Airport station, which recorded a peak of 23°C amid persistent cloud cover from a lingering frontal system. This suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating well below May climatological averages of 28–29°C, with northeasterly winds further cooling the region; CWA's latest ensemble forecasts projected 20–25°C, aligning precisely with measurements as evening temperatures decline. While improbable late-afternoon clearing and warm-air advection could challenge this, current diurnal trends and model consensus make higher readings unlikely, with final daily data from CWA expected to confirm resolution soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on May 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 1?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$60,567 Объем
$60,567 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$60,567 Объем
$60,567 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
$180 Объем
No
19°C
$135 Объем
No
20°C
$506 Объем
No
21°C
$2,559 Объем
No
22°C
$10,542 Объем
No
23°C
$13,131 Объем
Yes
24°C
$8,035 Объем
No
25°C
$7,237 Объем
No
26°C
$5,315 Объем
No
27°C
$6,052 Объем
No
28°C or higher
$6,875 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 23°C high temperature in Taipei on May 1, 2026, backed by real-time Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations at the Songshan Airport station, which recorded a peak of 23°C amid persistent cloud cover from a lingering frontal system. This suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating well below May climatological averages of 28–29°C, with northeasterly winds further cooling the region; CWA's latest ensemble forecasts projected 20–25°C, aligning precisely with measurements as evening temperatures decline. While improbable late-afternoon clearing and warm-air advection could challenge this, current diurnal trends and model consensus make higher readings unlikely, with final daily data from CWA expected to confirm resolution soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$60,567Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 23°C high temperature in Taipei on May 1, 2026, backed by real-time Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations at the Songshan Airport station, which recorded a peak of 23°C amid persistent cloud cover from a lingering frontal system. This suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating well below May climatological averages of 28–29°C, with northeasterly winds further cooling the region; CWA's latest ensemble forecasts projected 20–25°C, aligning precisely with measurements as evening temperatures decline. While improbable late-afternoon clearing and warm-air advection could challenge this, current diurnal trends and model consensus make higher readings unlikely, with final daily data from CWA expected to confirm resolution soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$60,567Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 23°C high temperature in Taipei on May 1, 2026, backed by real-time Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations at the Songshan Airport station, which recorded a peak of 23°C amid persistent cloud cover from a lingering frontal system. This suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating well below May climatological averages of 28–29°C, with northeasterly winds further cooling the region; CWA's latest ensemble forecasts projected 20–25°C, aligning precisely with measurements as evening temperatures decline. While improbable late-afternoon clearing and warm-air advection could challenge this, current diurnal trends and model consensus make higher readings unlikely, with final daily data from CWA expected to confirm resolution soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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