Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 10 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 10 июля?
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$42,514 Объем
$42,514 Объем
10 июл. 2026 г.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$42,514 Объем
$42,514 Объем
10 июл. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$1,107 Объем
No
29°C
$2,796 Объем
No
30°C
$10,972 Объем
No
31°C
$11,388 Объем
Yes
32°C
$5,683 Объем
No
33°C
$2,928 Объем
No
34°C
$1,300 Объем
No
35°C
$1,698 Объем
No
36°C
$1,375 Объем
No
37°C
$1,620 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$1,646 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$42,514Дата окончания
10 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$42,514Дата окончания
10 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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