Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 12 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 12 июля?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$25,580 Объем
$25,580 Объем
12 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$25,580 Объем
$25,580 Объем
12 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$853 Объем
No
28°C
$5,669 Объем
No
29°C
$513 Объем
No
30°C
$2,265 Объем
No
31°C
$6,004 Объем
Yes
32°C
$4,421 Объем
No
33°C
$2,841 Объем
No
34°C
$1,487 Объем
No
35°C
$726 Объем
No
36°C
$542 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$259 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$25,580Дата окончания
12 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$25,580Дата окончания
12 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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