Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 15 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 15 июля?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,534 Объем
$34,534 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,534 Объем
$34,534 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$471 Объем
No
29°C
$3,124 Объем
No
30°C
$1,823 Объем
No
31°C
$8,380 Объем
No
32°C
$11,295 Объем
Yes
33°C
$3,750 Объем
No
34°C
$2,765 Объем
No
35°C
$1,474 Объем
No
36°C
$574 Объем
No
37°C
$556 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$321 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$34,534Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$34,534Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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