Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 19 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 19 июля?
34°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$125,701 Объем
$125,701 Объем
19 июл. 2026 г.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$125,701 Объем
$125,701 Объем
19 июл. 2026 г.
32°C or below
$6,395 Объем
No
33°C
$8,593 Объем
No
34°C
$23,961 Объем
Yes
35°C
$39,846 Объем
No
36°C
$18,842 Объем
No
37°C
$11,119 Объем
No
38°C
$9,974 Объем
No
39°C
$4,797 Объем
No
40°C
$765 Объем
No
41°C
$494 Объем
No
42°C or higher
$916 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$125,701Дата окончания
19 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$125,701Дата окончания
19 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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