Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
30°C 100.0%
26°C или ниже <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,565 Объем
$40,565 Объем
26°C или ниже
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
No
29°C
Нет
30°C
Да
31°C
No
32°C
Нет
33°C
No
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C или выше
Нет
30°C 100.0%
26°C или ниже <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,565 Объем
$40,565 Объем
26°C или ниже
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
No
29°C
Нет
30°C
Да
31°C
No
32°C
Нет
33°C
No
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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