**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 20?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,426 Объем
$39,426 Объем
20 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,426 Объем
$39,426 Объем
20 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$653 Объем
No
27°C
$548 Объем
No
28°C
$1,896 Объем
No
29°C
$9,864 Объем
No
30°C
$8,968 Объем
Yes
31°C
$5,959 Объем
No
32°C
$6,864 Объем
No
33°C
$2,538 Объем
No
34°C
$1,591 Объем
No
35°C
$361 Объем
No
36°C or higher
$185 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$39,426Дата окончания
20 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$39,426Дата окончания
20 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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