Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 8, 2026, driven by official NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 77°F (25°C) under clear skies and strengthening northerly sea breezes that moderated coastal warmth. Israel Meteorological Service data aligns, showing current readings stabilizing at 24–25°C with no further intensification expected as high-pressure ridges dominate, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C highs. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst exceeding model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, though diurnal cooling and low humidity (around 20–50%) make this improbable; final daily summaries from IMS expected by evening will solidify resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 8?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 8?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$69,295 Объем
$69,295 Объем
8 мая 2026 г.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$69,295 Объем
$69,295 Объем
8 мая 2026 г.
20°C or below
$2,752 Объем
No
21°C
$2,129 Объем
No
22°C
$5,837 Объем
No
23°C
$6,399 Объем
No
24°C
$8,090 Объем
No
25°C
$9,249 Объем
Yes
26°C
$8,930 Объем
No
27°C
$6,191 Объем
No
28°C
$10,576 Объем
No
29°C
$4,447 Объем
No
30°C or higher
$4,695 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 8, 2026, driven by official NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 77°F (25°C) under clear skies and strengthening northerly sea breezes that moderated coastal warmth. Israel Meteorological Service data aligns, showing current readings stabilizing at 24–25°C with no further intensification expected as high-pressure ridges dominate, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C highs. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst exceeding model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, though diurnal cooling and low humidity (around 20–50%) make this improbable; final daily summaries from IMS expected by evening will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 6, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Объем
$69,295Дата окончания
8 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 6, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 8, 2026, driven by official NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 77°F (25°C) under clear skies and strengthening northerly sea breezes that moderated coastal warmth. Israel Meteorological Service data aligns, showing current readings stabilizing at 24–25°C with no further intensification expected as high-pressure ridges dominate, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C highs. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst exceeding model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, though diurnal cooling and low humidity (around 20–50%) make this improbable; final daily summaries from IMS expected by evening will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$69,295Дата окончания
8 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 6, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 8, 2026, driven by official NOAA observations at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 77°F (25°C) under clear skies and strengthening northerly sea breezes that moderated coastal warmth. Israel Meteorological Service data aligns, showing current readings stabilizing at 24–25°C with no further intensification expected as high-pressure ridges dominate, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C highs. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst exceeding model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, though diurnal cooling and low humidity (around 20–50%) make this improbable; final daily summaries from IMS expected by evening will solidify resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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