Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 27, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicating rain turning cloudy later, with a daytime high of 18–21°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation probabilities exceeding 50% midday. This positioning reflects current observations peaking near 20°C amid cool sea breezes and limited solar heating, consistent with late-April climatology where historical highs average 21°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to exceed 21°C, though diminishing sun angles and model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) show low likelihood; monitor JMA's evening update for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 27?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 27?
20°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$263,053 Объем
$263,053 Объем
27 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$263,053 Объем
$263,053 Объем
27 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$1,696 Объем
No
12°C
$2,367 Объем
No
13°C
$2,290 Объем
No
14°C
$18,003 Объем
No
15°C
$18,754 Объем
No
16°C
$35,040 Объем
No
17°C
$21,947 Объем
No
18°C
$30,815 Объем
No
19°C
$33,516 Объем
No
20°C
$44,866 Объем
Yes
21°C or higher
$53,757 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 27, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicating rain turning cloudy later, with a daytime high of 18–21°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation probabilities exceeding 50% midday. This positioning reflects current observations peaking near 20°C amid cool sea breezes and limited solar heating, consistent with late-April climatology where historical highs average 21°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to exceed 21°C, though diminishing sun angles and model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) show low likelihood; monitor JMA's evening update for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Объем
$263,053Дата окончания
27 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 27, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicating rain turning cloudy later, with a daytime high of 18–21°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation probabilities exceeding 50% midday. This positioning reflects current observations peaking near 20°C amid cool sea breezes and limited solar heating, consistent with late-April climatology where historical highs average 21°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to exceed 21°C, though diminishing sun angles and model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) show low likelihood; monitor JMA's evening update for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$263,053Дата окончания
27 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 27, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicating rain turning cloudy later, with a daytime high of 18–21°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation probabilities exceeding 50% midday. This positioning reflects current observations peaking near 20°C amid cool sea breezes and limited solar heating, consistent with late-April climatology where historical highs average 21°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to exceed 21°C, though diminishing sun angles and model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) show low likelihood; monitor JMA's evening update for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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