Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Торонто 16 августа?
26°C 38%
25°C 34%
24°C 13%
27°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
34%
26°C
38%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 38%
25°C 34%
24°C 13%
27°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$88 Объем
1%
23°C
$365 Объем
4%
24°C
$557 Объем
13%
25°C
$181 Объем
34%
26°C
$162 Объем
38%
27°C
$674 Объем
13%
28°C
$303 Объем
2%
29°C
$374 Объем
2%
30°C
$138 Объем
1%
31°C
$191 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,170 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$4,204Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,204Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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