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icon for Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 апреля?

Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 апреля?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 апреля?

Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 апреля?

Ended: апр. 26

июл. 26

июл. 27

июл. 28

Ended: апр. 26

июл. 26

июл. 27

июл. 28

11°C 100.0%

4°C или ниже <1%

5°C <1%

6°C <1%

Polymarket

$68,525 Объем

11°C 100.0%

4°C или ниже <1%

5°C <1%

6°C <1%

Polymarket

$68,525 Объем

4°C или ниже

$736 Объем

Нет

5°C

$2,141 Объем

Нет

6°C

$1,181 Объем

Нет

7°C

$1,318 Объем

Нет

8°C

$7,138 Объем

Нет

9°C

$10,991 Объем

Нет

10°C

$10,495 Объем

Нет

11°C

$13,202 Объем

Да

12°C

$10,376 Объем

Нет

13°C

$6,035 Объем

Нет

14°C или выше

$4,912 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$68,525
Дата окончания
26 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$68,525
Дата окончания
26 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Связанные

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 27?

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 28?

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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 апреля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «11°C» с 100%, за ним следует «4°C или ниже» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 апреля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $68.5K с момента запуска рынка Apr 24, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 апреля?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 апреля?» — «11°C» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «4°C или ниже» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 апреля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.