Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooler air mass and light rain arriving in Warsaw on August 17, capping daytime highs near 22–23°C after hotter conditions the prior day. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which traders have priced into tight probabilities favoring 22°C or 23°C. These outcomes align closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average maxima reach about 23°C at Chopin Airport. Resolution hinges on the official peak reading there, with any earlier or more intense showers potentially suppressing the high by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 17 августа?
23°C 33%
22°C 31%
24°C 21%
25°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
31%
23°C
33%
24°C
21%
25°C
9%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 33%
22°C 31%
24°C 21%
25°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$1,110 Объем
5%
21°C
$343 Объем
6%
22°C
$1,159 Объем
31%
23°C
$182 Объем
33%
24°C
$121 Объем
21%
25°C
$346 Объем
9%
26°C
$41 Объем
1%
27°C
$219 Объем
1%
28°C
$628 Объем
<1%
29°C
$26 Объем
<1%
30°C or higher
$206 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooler air mass and light rain arriving in Warsaw on August 17, capping daytime highs near 22–23°C after hotter conditions the prior day. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which traders have priced into tight probabilities favoring 22°C or 23°C. These outcomes align closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average maxima reach about 23°C at Chopin Airport. Resolution hinges on the official peak reading there, with any earlier or more intense showers potentially suppressing the high by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Объем
$4,382Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooler air mass and light rain arriving in Warsaw on August 17, capping daytime highs near 22–23°C after hotter conditions the prior day. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which traders have priced into tight probabilities favoring 22°C or 23°C. These outcomes align closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average maxima reach about 23°C at Chopin Airport. Resolution hinges on the official peak reading there, with any earlier or more intense showers potentially suppressing the high by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,382Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooler air mass and light rain arriving in Warsaw on August 17, capping daytime highs near 22–23°C after hotter conditions the prior day. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which traders have priced into tight probabilities favoring 22°C or 23°C. These outcomes align closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average maxima reach about 23°C at Chopin Airport. Resolution hinges on the official peak reading there, with any earlier or more intense showers potentially suppressing the high by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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