Current model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance points to a highest temperature of 19–21 °C in Warsaw on September 7 under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits solar heating. Overnight lows near 11–14 °C and modest daytime recovery support afternoon peaks around 20 °C, consistent with September climatology near 18–20 °C. Recent runs show little spread, with only minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the maximum by 1 °C. Traders have priced 20–21 °C as the clear mode, reflecting this stable synoptic setup and the narrow window before resolution on official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 7 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 7 сентября?
21°C 46%
20°C 35%
22°C 12%
18°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
35%
21°C
46%
22°C
12%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C или выше
2%
21°C 46%
20°C 35%
22°C 12%
18°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
16°C
$0 Объем
2%
17°C
$0 Объем
4%
18°C
$0 Объем
8%
19°C
$136 Объем
8%
20°C
$306 Объем
35%
21°C
$408 Объем
46%
22°C
$0 Объем
12%
23°C
$0 Объем
5%
24°C
$0 Объем
2%
25°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance points to a highest temperature of 19–21 °C in Warsaw on September 7 under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits solar heating. Overnight lows near 11–14 °C and modest daytime recovery support afternoon peaks around 20 °C, consistent with September climatology near 18–20 °C. Recent runs show little spread, with only minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the maximum by 1 °C. Traders have priced 20–21 °C as the clear mode, reflecting this stable synoptic setup and the narrow window before resolution on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$849Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance points to a highest temperature of 19–21 °C in Warsaw on September 7 under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits solar heating. Overnight lows near 11–14 °C and modest daytime recovery support afternoon peaks around 20 °C, consistent with September climatology near 18–20 °C. Recent runs show little spread, with only minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the maximum by 1 °C. Traders have priced 20–21 °C as the clear mode, reflecting this stable synoptic setup and the narrow window before resolution on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$849Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance points to a highest temperature of 19–21 °C in Warsaw on September 7 under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits solar heating. Overnight lows near 11–14 °C and modest daytime recovery support afternoon peaks around 20 °C, consistent with September climatology near 18–20 °C. Recent runs show little spread, with only minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the maximum by 1 °C. Traders have priced 20–21 °C as the clear mode, reflecting this stable synoptic setup and the narrow window before resolution on official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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