Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 29?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,075 Объем
$118,075 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,075 Объем
$118,075 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$6,269 Объем
No
12°C
$1,452 Объем
No
13°C
$6,261 Объем
No
14°C
$2,295 Объем
No
15°C
$2,421 Объем
No
16°C
$16,021 Объем
No
17°C
$6,832 Объем
No
18°C
$23,951 Объем
No
19°C
$24,886 Объем
Yes
20°C
$18,023 Объем
No
21°C or higher
$9,665 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Объем
$118,075Дата окончания
29 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$118,075Дата окончания
29 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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