Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models currently project a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on July 15, supported by northerly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a frontal system. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (46.5%) and 16°C (31%), above the typical July average high near 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for May–July 2026 indicates temperatures are most likely near or below average across the region, yet the specific synoptic pattern for mid-month is producing the observed mild signal. Key variables include wind direction shifts, cloud cover, and any late intensification of the approaching front, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 15 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 15 июля?
16°C 100.0%
10°C или ниже <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$132,978 Объем
$132,978 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Да
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C или выше
Нет
16°C 100.0%
10°C или ниже <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$132,978 Объем
$132,978 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$1,260 Объем
Нет
11°C
$887 Объем
Нет
12°C
$2,418 Объем
Нет
13°C
$3,716 Объем
Нет
14°C
$48,411 Объем
Нет
15°C
$22,716 Объем
Нет
16°C
$21,859 Объем
Да
17°C
$19,651 Объем
Нет
18°C
$10,919 Объем
Нет
19°C
$387 Объем
Нет
20°C или выше
$754 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models currently project a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on July 15, supported by northerly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a frontal system. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (46.5%) and 16°C (31%), above the typical July average high near 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for May–July 2026 indicates temperatures are most likely near or below average across the region, yet the specific synoptic pattern for mid-month is producing the observed mild signal. Key variables include wind direction shifts, cloud cover, and any late intensification of the approaching front, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$132,978Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models currently project a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on July 15, supported by northerly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a frontal system. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (46.5%) and 16°C (31%), above the typical July average high near 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for May–July 2026 indicates temperatures are most likely near or below average across the region, yet the specific synoptic pattern for mid-month is producing the observed mild signal. Key variables include wind direction shifts, cloud cover, and any late intensification of the approaching front, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$132,978Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Short-term forecasts from MetService and international models currently project a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on July 15, supported by northerly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a frontal system. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (46.5%) and 16°C (31%), above the typical July average high near 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for May–July 2026 indicates temperatures are most likely near or below average across the region, yet the specific synoptic pattern for mid-month is producing the observed mild signal. Key variables include wind direction shifts, cloud cover, and any late intensification of the approaching front, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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