Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 26 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 26 июля?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$75,529 Объем
$75,529 Объем
26 июл. 2026 г.
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$75,529 Объем
$75,529 Объем
26 июл. 2026 г.
4°C or below
$5,437 Объем
No
5°C
$299 Объем
No
6°C
$647 Объем
No
7°C
$1,592 Объем
No
8°C
$2,806 Объем
No
9°C
$12,899 Объем
No
10°C
$20,395 Объем
Yes
11°C
$17,978 Объем
No
12°C
$8,944 Объем
No
13°C
$3,520 Объем
No
14°C or higher
$1,013 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$75,529Дата окончания
26 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$75,529Дата окончания
26 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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