Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 100.0%
8°C или ниже <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$61,546 Объем
$61,546 Объем
11 июн. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
Нет
9°C
No
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Да
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C или выше
Нет
14°C 100.0%
8°C или ниже <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$61,546 Объем
$61,546 Объем
11 июн. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$317 Объем
Нет
9°C
$311 Объем
No
10°C
$1,743 Объем
Нет
11°C
$2,590 Объем
Нет
12°C
$6,243 Объем
Нет
13°C
$16,223 Объем
Нет
14°C
$11,857 Объем
Да
15°C
$8,210 Объем
Нет
16°C
$9,389 Объем
Нет
17°C
$4,048 Объем
Нет
18°C или выше
$615 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$61,546Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$61,546Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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