Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$55,119 Объем
$55,119 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$55,119 Объем
$55,119 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$167 Объем
No
12°C
$365 Объем
No
13°C
$2,254 Объем
No
14°C
$3,425 Объем
No
15°C
$6,395 Объем
No
16°C
$10,104 Объем
No
17°C
$10,793 Объем
Yes
18°C
$8,856 Объем
No
19°C
$5,330 Объем
No
20°C
$6,187 Объем
No
21°C or higher
$1,244 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$55,119Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$55,119Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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