Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 30 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 30 июня?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$278,607 Объем
$278,607 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$278,607 Объем
$278,607 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
6°C or below
$21,680 Объем
No
7°C
$18,620 Объем
No
8°C
$29,317 Объем
No
9°C
$23,936 Объем
No
10°C
$32,004 Объем
No
11°C
$29,441 Объем
No
12°C
$24,308 Объем
Yes
13°C
$22,394 Объем
No
14°C
$29,709 Объем
No
15°C
$25,161 Объем
No
16°C or higher
$22,036 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$278,607Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$278,607Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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