Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$54,366 Объем
$54,366 Объем
13 июн. 2026 г.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$54,366 Объем
$54,366 Объем
13 июн. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$5,557 Объем
No
20°C
$409 Объем
No
21°C
$410 Объем
No
22°C
$1,447 Объем
No
23°C
$3,386 Объем
No
24°C
$13,494 Объем
Yes
25°C
$6,648 Объем
No
26°C
$3,847 Объем
No
27°C
$4,598 Объем
No
28°C
$4,966 Объем
No
29°C or higher
$9,604 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Объем
$54,366Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$54,366Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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