Current observations from official Chinese meteorological stations and convergent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and CMA show Wuhan's afternoon peak stabilizing at or below 29°C under stable high pressure, limited moisture advection, and typical early-summer radiative heating. This scientific consensus, reinforced by real-time surface data and the absence of convective destabilization, has driven the market's near-certain pricing of the 29°C outcome. The primary resolution threshold remains the highest verified reading at the designated Wuhan station before midnight local time. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled urban heat-island effects or a post-forecast measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$65,228 Объем
$65,228 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$65,228 Объем
$65,228 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$6,577 Объем
No
28°C
$12,461 Объем
No
29°C
$13,017 Объем
Yes
30°C
$8,317 Объем
No
31°C
$5,657 Объем
No
32°C
$4,639 Объем
No
33°C
$6,481 Объем
No
34°C
$2,921 Объем
No
35°C
$1,196 Объем
No
36°C
$2,399 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$1,564 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observations from official Chinese meteorological stations and convergent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and CMA show Wuhan's afternoon peak stabilizing at or below 29°C under stable high pressure, limited moisture advection, and typical early-summer radiative heating. This scientific consensus, reinforced by real-time surface data and the absence of convective destabilization, has driven the market's near-certain pricing of the 29°C outcome. The primary resolution threshold remains the highest verified reading at the designated Wuhan station before midnight local time. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled urban heat-island effects or a post-forecast measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$65,228Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observations from official Chinese meteorological stations and convergent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and CMA show Wuhan's afternoon peak stabilizing at or below 29°C under stable high pressure, limited moisture advection, and typical early-summer radiative heating. This scientific consensus, reinforced by real-time surface data and the absence of convective destabilization, has driven the market's near-certain pricing of the 29°C outcome. The primary resolution threshold remains the highest verified reading at the designated Wuhan station before midnight local time. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled urban heat-island effects or a post-forecast measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$65,228Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current observations from official Chinese meteorological stations and convergent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and CMA show Wuhan's afternoon peak stabilizing at or below 29°C under stable high pressure, limited moisture advection, and typical early-summer radiative heating. This scientific consensus, reinforced by real-time surface data and the absence of convective destabilization, has driven the market's near-certain pricing of the 29°C outcome. The primary resolution threshold remains the highest verified reading at the designated Wuhan station before midnight local time. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled urban heat-island effects or a post-forecast measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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