Market icon

Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (10-16 марта)

Market icon

Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (10-16 марта)

45+ 39%

20-24 13%

40-44 11.9%

35-39 11.4%

Polymarket
NEW

$13,472 Объем

45+ 39%

20-24 13%

40-44 11.9%

35-39 11.4%

Polymarket
NEW

$13,472 Объем

<10

$1,425 Объем

7%

10-14

$2,756 Объем

4%

15-19

$646 Объем

10%

20-24

$1,259 Объем

13%

25-29

$760 Объем

6%

30-34

$1,108 Объем

5%

35-39

$1,590 Объем

11%

40-44

$2,160 Объем

12%

45+

$1,770 Объем

39%

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 10, 2026 through March 16, 2026, inclusive.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Объем
$13,472
Дата окончания
Mar 16, 2026
Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 10, 2026 through March 16, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (10-16 марта)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "45+" at 39%, followed by "20-24" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (10-16 марта)" has generated $13.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (10-16 марта)," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (10-16 марта)" is "45+" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20-24" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Сколько кораблей пройдет через Ормузский пролив на этой неделе? (10-16 марта)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.