Escalating geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have injected a substantial risk premium into WTI crude oil (CL) futures, pushing front-month prices to around $94-96 per barrel despite a surprise 1.9 million barrel U.S. commercial inventory build reported by EIA for the week ending April 17—contrary to expectations for a draw. This surge, marking over 10% gains in the past five sessions, overrides bearish stock data amid fears of prolonged Middle East supply disruptions, with Brent trading near $105/bbl. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates a Q2 peak near $115/bbl for Brent before a decline on potential oversupply. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory releases every Wednesday, the OPEC+ JMMC meeting on May 3, and ramping summer driving demand, all poised to influence whether CL breaches key thresholds by June's end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПопадет ли сырая нефть (CL) на __ к концу июня?
Попадет ли сырая нефть (CL) на __ к концу июня?
$11,777,280 Объем
↑ $200
6%
↑ $175
8%
↑ $150
14%
↑ $140
20%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
45%
↑ $115
53%
↓ $80
60%
↓ $70
31%
↓ $60
12%
↓ $55
8%
↓ $52
4%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $47
3%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
$11,777,280 Объем
↑ $200
6%
↑ $175
8%
↑ $150
14%
↑ $140
20%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
45%
↑ $115
53%
↓ $80
60%
↓ $70
31%
↓ $60
12%
↓ $55
8%
↓ $52
4%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $47
3%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have injected a substantial risk premium into WTI crude oil (CL) futures, pushing front-month prices to around $94-96 per barrel despite a surprise 1.9 million barrel U.S. commercial inventory build reported by EIA for the week ending April 17—contrary to expectations for a draw. This surge, marking over 10% gains in the past five sessions, overrides bearish stock data amid fears of prolonged Middle East supply disruptions, with Brent trading near $105/bbl. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates a Q2 peak near $115/bbl for Brent before a decline on potential oversupply. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory releases every Wednesday, the OPEC+ JMMC meeting on May 3, and ramping summer driving demand, all poised to influence whether CL breaches key thresholds by June's end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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