Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 25% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 20.5%, reflecting range-bound expectations near current spot levels around $4,720 per ounce amid rebounding inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—curbing Federal Reserve rate cut bets, with CME FedWatch showing over 99% odds of no change at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, while 10-year Treasury yields hover near 4.32% and the DXY dollar index at 98.5 exert downward pressure. Persistent central bank purchases, led by emerging markets like Poland adding 20 tonnes in February, provide a supportive floor, but closely contested odds hinge on upcoming April CPI (May 12 release), FOMC guidance, and geopolitical risks in the Middle East.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНа что будет рассчитываться Gold (GC) в июне?
На что будет рассчитываться Gold (GC) в июне?
$4,600-$5,000 25%
$4 200–$4 600 20.6%
$5,000–$5,400 17.5%
$3,800–$4,200 11.9%
$907,212 Объем
$907,212 Объем
< $3,800
5%
$3,800–$4,200
12%
$4 200–$4 600
21%
$4,600-$5,000
25%
$5,000–$5,400
18%
$5,400–$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>$6 200
4%
$4,600-$5,000 25%
$4 200–$4 600 20.6%
$5,000–$5,400 17.5%
$3,800–$4,200 11.9%
$907,212 Объем
$907,212 Объем
< $3,800
5%
$3,800–$4,200
12%
$4 200–$4 600
21%
$4,600-$5,000
25%
$5,000–$5,400
18%
$5,400–$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>$6 200
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 25% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 20.5%, reflecting range-bound expectations near current spot levels around $4,720 per ounce amid rebounding inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—curbing Federal Reserve rate cut bets, with CME FedWatch showing over 99% odds of no change at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, while 10-year Treasury yields hover near 4.32% and the DXY dollar index at 98.5 exert downward pressure. Persistent central bank purchases, led by emerging markets like Poland adding 20 tonnes in February, provide a supportive floor, but closely contested odds hinge on upcoming April CPI (May 12 release), FOMC guidance, and geopolitical risks in the Middle East.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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