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icon for Джером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?

Джером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?

icon for Джером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?

Джером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?

$447,881 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$447,881 Объем

Polymarket

31 декабря

$161,289 Объем

11%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Jerome Powell remains on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his chair term ended May 15, 2026, with his 14-year governor seat running through January 2028.** He stayed on explicitly to safeguard institutional independence amid Trump administration pressure for lower rates, including a DOJ probe into headquarters renovations that was closed in April 2026 but left open to restart. This broke with precedent of chairs departing upon leaving the top post, positioning Powell as a potential counterweight on the seven-member board now led by Kevin Warsh. No subsequent resignation or removal has occurred, and fixed-term protections limit removal to “for cause.” Key near-term variables include any renewed legal actions, board vacancies, or shifts in administration-Fed relations that could prompt an earlier exit before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$447,881
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Jerome Powell remains on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his chair term ended May 15, 2026, with his 14-year governor seat running through January 2028.** He stayed on explicitly to safeguard institutional independence amid Trump administration pressure for lower rates, including a DOJ probe into headquarters renovations that was closed in April 2026 but left open to restart. This broke with precedent of chairs departing upon leaving the top post, positioning Powell as a potential counterweight on the seven-member board now led by Kevin Warsh. No subsequent resignation or removal has occurred, and fixed-term protections limit removal to “for cause.” Key near-term variables include any renewed legal actions, board vacancies, or shifts in administration-Fed relations that could prompt an earlier exit before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$447,881
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Джером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 11%, за ним следует «30 мая» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 11¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Джером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $447.9K с момента запуска рынка Jan 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Джером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Джером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?» — «31 декабря» с 11%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 мая» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Джером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.