Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ye's "Bully" landing in the 150k-175k first-week units range at 53.5% implied probability, with <150k close behind at 38%, reflecting skepticism around early hype despite explosive streaming metrics. Released March 28 via independent YZY/Gamma distribution with minimal traditional promo, the album notched 33.2 million Spotify streams in its partial first day—rising to nearly 50-57 million in the first full 24 hours, the biggest rapper debut of 2026—yet traders discount Hits Daily Double's 250k-275k projections (including ~100k pure sales) amid mixed critical reception, producer James Blake's credit removal, and Ye's recent track record of declining sales (Vultures 1 at 148k units, Vultures 2 lower). Physicals and late-week streaming could shift totals, with Billboard 200 numbers locking next week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПродажи альбомов Kanye West «BULLY» за первую неделю? (Нижние удары)
Продажи альбомов Kanye West «BULLY» за первую неделю? (Нижние удары)
150k-175k 54%
Меньше 150 тыс. 33%
175k-200k 7%
275-300 тыс. 5.3%
Меньше 150 тыс.
37%
150k-175k
54%
175k-200k
7%
200k-225k
6%
225 тыс. - 250 тыс.
7%
250 тыс.-275 тыс.
6%
275-300 тыс.
5%
300k+
5%
150k-175k 54%
Меньше 150 тыс. 33%
175k-200k 7%
275-300 тыс. 5.3%
Меньше 150 тыс.
37%
150k-175k
54%
175k-200k
7%
200k-225k
6%
225 тыс. - 250 тыс.
7%
250 тыс.-275 тыс.
6%
275-300 тыс.
5%
300k+
5%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ye's "Bully" landing in the 150k-175k first-week units range at 53.5% implied probability, with <150k close behind at 38%, reflecting skepticism around early hype despite explosive streaming metrics. Released March 28 via independent YZY/Gamma distribution with minimal traditional promo, the album notched 33.2 million Spotify streams in its partial first day—rising to nearly 50-57 million in the first full 24 hours, the biggest rapper debut of 2026—yet traders discount Hits Daily Double's 250k-275k projections (including ~100k pure sales) amid mixed critical reception, producer James Blake's credit removal, and Ye's recent track record of declining sales (Vultures 1 at 148k units, Vultures 2 lower). Physicals and late-week streaming could shift totals, with Billboard 200 numbers locking next week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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