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icon for Выборы в Сенат Луизианы: Явка
Политика·явка

Выборы в Сенат Луизианы: Явка

icon for Выборы в Сенат Луизианы: Явка
Политика·явка

Выборы в Сенат Луизианы: Явка

<1,1 млн 45%

1,1М-1,2М 45%

1,2M–1,3M 45%

1,3M–1,4M 45%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<1,1 млн 45%

1,1М-1,2М 45%

1,2M–1,3M 45%

1,3M–1,4M 45%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<1,1 млн

$0 Объем

45%

1,1М-1,2М

$0 Объем

45%

1,2M–1,3M

$0 Объем

45%

1,3M–1,4M

$0 Объем

45%

1,4M–1,5M

$0 Объем

45%

1,5М–1,6М

$0 Объем

45%

1,6M-1,7M

$0 Объем

45%

1,7M+

$0 Объем

45%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The non-competitive general election matchup between Republican Julia Letlow and Democrat Jamie Davis in Louisiana's November 3, 2026, Senate contest contributes to wide uncertainty around turnout totals. Recent party primaries and June runoffs produced notably low participation, with unofficial figures around 17% of registered voters in the latter, reflecting limited enthusiasm in a solidly Republican seat. Louisiana's shift to a semi-closed partisan primary system for the first time since 2010 adds another variable, as does the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot. Trader probabilities remain evenly distributed across turnout buckets due to limited recent polling on participation rates, variable historical midterm patterns, and potential influences from campaign mobilization, economic conditions, or last-minute developments before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The non-competitive general election matchup between Republican Julia Letlow and Democrat Jamie Davis in Louisiana's November 3, 2026, Senate contest contributes to wide uncertainty around turnout totals. Recent party primaries and June runoffs produced notably low participation, with unofficial figures around 17% of registered voters in the latter, reflecting limited enthusiasm in a solidly Republican seat. Louisiana's shift to a semi-closed partisan primary system for the first time since 2010 adds another variable, as does the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot. Trader probabilities remain evenly distributed across turnout buckets due to limited recent polling on participation rates, variable historical midterm patterns, and potential influences from campaign mobilization, economic conditions, or last-minute developments before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Связанные

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Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на выборах сенатора от Техаса в промежуточных выборах 2026 года меньше 8 000 000?

44%
Да
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Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Арканзаса, менее 600 000?

45%
Да
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45%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Луизианы: Явка» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<1,1 млн» с 45%, за ним следует «1,1М-1,2М» с 45%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 45¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат Луизианы: Явка» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Луизианы: Явка», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Луизианы: Явка» — «<1,1 млн» с 45%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1,1М-1,2М» с 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Луизианы: Явка» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.