The observed minimum temperature of 78–79°F at Miami International Airport on June 14 aligns with National Weather Service climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically range from 76–78°F under prevailing trade-wind patterns and scattered convective activity. Pre-event model consensus from NOAA and related guidance indicated no significant frontal passages or anomalous cooling that would push readings below 77°F or above 80°F, producing the market's near-certain consensus on this narrow bin. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of surface observations rather than forecasts, as the event has now concluded. Only a rare station reporting discrepancy or uncharacteristic mesoscale cooling could have altered the result.