The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on June 5 due to persistent subtropical high pressure and warm sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf, which limit overnight radiational cooling. Official climatological normals place early-June minimums near 76°F at Miami International Airport, with recent observations from June 4–5 confirming overnight lows of 73–78°F under humid conditions that keep dew points elevated and suppress drops below the upper 70s. Model consensus from NOAA reinforced this stable pattern without significant frontal passages or drier air intrusions. While an unexpected cold surge could theoretically shift readings lower, such events are climatologically rare in June and would require rapid changes not indicated in current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in Miami on June 5?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$20,333 Объем
$20,333 Объем
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$20,333 Объем
$20,333 Объем
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 3, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on June 5 due to persistent subtropical high pressure and warm sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf, which limit overnight radiational cooling. Official climatological normals place early-June minimums near 76°F at Miami International Airport, with recent observations from June 4–5 confirming overnight lows of 73–78°F under humid conditions that keep dew points elevated and suppress drops below the upper 70s. Model consensus from NOAA reinforced this stable pattern without significant frontal passages or drier air intrusions. While an unexpected cold surge could theoretically shift readings lower, such events are climatologically rare in June and would require rapid changes not indicated in current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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